Learn Index · Scientific Inquiry and Engineering Grade 9–10

Experimental design, uncertainty and error

Every measurement has uncertainty; good experiments reduce random error, identify systematic error and report results honestly.

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Good experiments are planned carefully

Experimental design is the plan behind an experiment. It decides what will be changed, what will be measured, what will be held constant, how many trials will be done and how the data will be analysed. A good design makes the results trustworthy.

Key features of strong design:

Feature Why it matters
One independent variable So the cause of any change is clear
Controlled variables So other factors don’t affect the result
A control group Gives a baseline to compare against
Repeated trials Reduces the effect of random variation
Random assignment Prevents hidden bias in which subjects get which treatment
Blinding Stops expectations from influencing results

In a double-blind study, neither the subjects nor the researchers know who received the real treatment. This is standard in medical trials.

Every measurement has uncertainty

No measurement is perfect. The uncertainty is the range in which the true value probably lies. It is written with a ± sign.

A ruler marked in millimetres can usually be read to ±0.5 mm. If you measure a pencil as 152.0 mm, you’d report 152.0 ± 0.5 mm.

For repeated measurements, a simple estimate of uncertainty is half the range:

uncertainty ≈ (largest − smallest) ÷ 2

Five readings of 9.78, 9.82, 9.80, 9.85 and 9.75 m/s² give a mean of 9.80 and an uncertainty of about (9.85 − 9.75) ÷ 2 = ±0.05 m/s².

Types of error

Type What it is Example How to reduce it
Random error Unpredictable scatter above and below the true value Reaction time when using a stopwatch Repeat trials and average
Systematic error A consistent shift in one direction A scale that reads 2 g too high Calibrate equipment; check zero
Human mistake A blunder, not a true error Writing 15 instead of 51 Check work; repeat the trial

Averaging reduces random error, but it can’t fix systematic error. If every reading is too high by the same amount, the average will be too high too.

Precision and accuracy

  • Precision is how close repeated measurements are to each other.
  • Accuracy is how close they are to the true value.

Think of darts on a target:

Pattern Precise? Accurate?
Tight cluster on the bullseye Yes Yes
Tight cluster off to one side Yes No (systematic error)
Scattered evenly around the bullseye No Roughly, on average
Scattered and off to one side No No

Error bars

On graphs, uncertainty is often shown with error bars, small lines above and below each point. If the error bars of two results overlap a lot, the difference between them may not be meaningful.

Evaluating an experiment

When you evaluate, ask:

  • Were there uncontrolled variables?
  • Was the sample large enough?
  • Were there signs of systematic error?
  • How could the design be improved?

Common mistakes

  • Thinking averaging fixes everything. It only reduces random error.
  • Reporting too many decimal places, suggesting more certainty than you have.
  • Calling any problem "human error" without saying exactly what went wrong.

Try it yourself

A student times a ball rolling down a ramp five times: 2.31 s, 2.28 s, 2.35 s, 2.29 s, 2.32 s. The stopwatch was later found to start 0.1 s late every time.

  1. Calculate the mean and the uncertainty.
  2. Is the stopwatch problem random or systematic error?
  3. How would it affect the mean?
  4. Suggest a better way to time the ball.

Quick recap

  • Good experimental design uses controls, repetition, randomization and blinding.
  • Every measurement has an uncertainty, written as ±.
  • Random error scatters results; systematic error shifts them all one way.
  • Precision is consistency; accuracy is closeness to the true value.
  • Evaluate experiments by looking for sources of error and ways to improve.