Learn Index · Mathematical Thinking and Problem Solving Grade 9–10

Making conjectures

A guess based on a pattern that you test.

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Noticing and guessing

Mathematicians start by exploring examples, noticing patterns, and making a conjecture: a statement they believe is true but haven’t proven.

From examples to conjecture

Example: Add two odd numbers.

  • 3 + 5 = 8
  • 7 + 9 = 16
  • 11 + 21 = 32

Conjecture: The sum of two odd numbers is always even.

This kind of thinking, where you generalize from examples to a general statement, is inductive reasoning.

Testing conjectures

Test with many and varied examples:

  • Small and large numbers
  • Negatives, zero, fractions (if they fit the conjecture)
  • Unusual cases

Counterexamples

One counterexample proves a conjecture false.

Conjecture Counterexample
All prime numbers are odd. 2
n² + n + 41 is always prime. n = 40 gives 1,681 = 41²
The product of two numbers is always bigger than each. 0.5 × 4 = 2
Every quadrilateral with 4 equal sides is a square. a rhombus

The n² + n + 41 example is famous: it gives primes for n = 0 to 39, then fails. Many examples aren’t the same as a proof!

From conjecture to proof

A proof uses logic to show a statement is always true.

Prove: the sum of two odd numbers is even.

  • Any odd number can be written 2a + 1 (a an integer).
  • (2a + 1) + (2b + 1) = 2a + 2b + 2 = 2(a + b + 1)
  • That’s 2 times an integer, so it’s even. ∎

Revising conjectures

When a counterexample appears, you can refine the conjecture.

  • "Multiplying makes a number bigger" → "Multiplying a positive number by a number greater than 1 makes it bigger." ✓

Famous conjectures

  • Goldbach’s conjecture (1742): every even number greater than 2 is the sum of two primes. Checked for enormous numbers, but still unproven.
  • Fermat’s Last Theorem: no whole numbers satisfy aⁿ + bⁿ = cⁿ for n > 2. Stated in 1637, proven by Andrew Wiles in 1994.

Worked examples

Example 1: Make a conjecture: 1 = 1, 1 + 3 = 4, 1 + 3 + 5 = 9, 1 + 3 + 5 + 7 = 16. The sum of the first n odd numbers is n².

Example 2: Find a counterexample: "All multiples of 4 are multiples of 8." 12.

Example 3: Conjecture: "The square of any number is greater than the number." Counterexample? 0.5² = 0.25 (or 1² = 1).

Common mistakes

  • Treating a conjecture as proven after a few examples.
  • Testing only similar examples.
  • Thinking a counterexample is "just one case". One is enough to disprove.

Try it yourself

  1. Make a conjecture about the sum of two even numbers.
  2. Find a counterexample: "All numbers ending in 7 are prime."
  3. Conjecture: "The sum of three consecutive integers is divisible by 3." Test it with three examples.
  4. Prove the conjecture in question 3.

Answers: 1) It’s always even. 2) 27 3) e.g. 1 + 2 + 3 = 6, 4 + 5 + 6 = 15, 9 + 10 + 11 = 30 4) n + (n + 1) + (n + 2) = 3n + 3 = 3(n + 1).

Quick recap

  • A conjecture comes from patterns (inductive reasoning).
  • One counterexample disproves it.
  • A proof shows it’s always true.